Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -2.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -17 (58-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.