Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -12 (62-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Coleman | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Strickland | 0 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| K. Toliver | 0 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 0 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| L. Harper | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Littles | 0 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Mohammed | 0 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Kellum | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Wright | 0 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - |
| S. Zoll | 0 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
* = starter