Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins -6 (61-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.