Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +4 (81-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Bowie | 35 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 8 | - |
| M. Pillow | 34 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Y. Sims | 27 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 9 | - |
| K. Cannon | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Williams | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Marks | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. Brewer | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Haymaker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Silverman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Harding | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gibson | 37 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 17 | - |
| K. Spencer | 37 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Ludwick | 31 | 6-6 | 6-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 19 | - |
| M. Smith | 30 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| I. Allen | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J. Shank | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Francis | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E.B. Davis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Dade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter