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2008-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% -
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -
Log Adjusted 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +20 (80-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster 32 6-17 1-11 1-2 6 0 1 0 3 14 1 -
A. Gordon 29 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
R. Neltner 27 3-5 0-0 1-3 4 1 1 0 6 7 2 -
J. Beal 26 1-5 1-2 5-6 5 5 0 0 1 8 12 -
A.J. Ogilvy 21 4-9 0-0 4-8 5 2 1 1 4 12 8 -
D. McClellan 20 2-3 1-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 5 9 -
K. Bell 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 -2 -
G. Drake 9 1-3 0-2 2-4 2 1 2 1 0 4 7 -
A. Walker 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
A. Metcalfe 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 0 -
J. Graham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Duffy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton 32 4-11 2-6 1-2 2 0 2 0 2 11 2 -
T. Smith 30 6-11 0-1 2-4 9 2 3 1 6 14 12 -
W. Chism 30 8-13 2-4 0-4 18 1 2 4 1 18 29 -
J. Smith 29 3-11 1-5 7-8 6 3 2 0 2 14 12 -
R. Smith 21 1-3 0-0 4-4 2 9 1 0 1 6 14 -
J. Howell 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
J.P. Prince 17 3-7 0-1 0-2 1 1 1 2 3 6 1 -
R. Childress 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
B. Williams 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
S. Pearl 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Wild 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Daniels-Mulholland 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter