Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Larry | 39 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Bauscher | 38 | 8-15 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| A. Thomas | 36 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Nelson | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Tiedeman | 32 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| P. Noonan | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Greene | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carroll | 39 | 9-14 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 19 | - |
| G. Wilkinson | 32 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| K. Clark | 32 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Newbold | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Wesley | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| S. DuCharme | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Spraggins | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Stephens | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter