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2008-01-17

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 57.1% 42.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% -
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 88.0% 12.0% -
Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.0% 5.0% -
Log Adjusted 95.1% 4.9% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Lauer 35 2-14 1-10 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 -6 -
P. Sanders 30 6-12 0-0 6-8 1 1 0 0 2 18 6 -
K. Bland 29 2-2 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 2 1 6 15 -
M. Hunter 27 4-12 2-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 10 5 -
D. Fells 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
M. McIntosh 23 3-6 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 8 1 -
C. DeCasas 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 4 5 -
P. Rembert 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Payne 37 4-7 1-1 2-3 7 3 1 0 5 11 10 -
V. Oliver 36 7-13 3-5 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 18 8 -
K. Brucculeri 35 4-8 3-5 2-2 7 3 0 0 0 13 15 -
D. Carter 35 3-5 2-4 11-12 7 2 1 1 5 19 20 -
S. Hanson 32 3-7 2-4 0-0 6 5 0 1 2 8 11 -
D. Calegari 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
J. Lopez-Low 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 2 4 -
N. Clark 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Portz 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter