Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +20 (71-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McNeal | 33 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | -1 | - |
| W. Matthews | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. James | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| L. Hayward | 29 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Acker | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Cubillan | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| O. Barro | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Fitzgerald | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Burke | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Blackledge | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 39 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| J. Smith | 37 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| E. Sosa | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Padgett | 21 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| D. Caracter | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Palacios | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Clark | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. McGee | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| P. Knowles | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter