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2008-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 3.1% 96.9% -
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% -
Margin 5.0% 95.0% +16.2 (28.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -
Efficiency 1.4% 98.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% -
Log Adjusted 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -12 (65-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. McDermott 39 2-5 1-1 7-9 11 6 4 0 2 12 26 -
J. Xavier 33 4-10 2-5 1-2 4 5 2 0 1 11 11 -
B. McKenzie 30 6-9 4-4 4-5 3 0 0 0 3 20 11 -
D. Williams 28 8-13 6-9 1-1 0 2 2 0 2 23 12 -
C. Burch 23 1-5 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Kale 15 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 2 0 4 6 -
R. Hanke 13 1-6 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
W. Efejuku 12 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 3 2 -3 -
J. Peterson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Hall 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adrien 38 7-15 0-0 2-2 15 1 0 3 5 16 15 -
J. Dyson 31 2-6 0-3 1-2 4 2 2 2 3 5 6 -
A.J. Price 31 5-12 1-4 1-2 4 3 0 0 2 12 5 -
D. Wiggins 30 4-10 3-8 4-4 4 5 2 0 0 15 16 -
H. Thabeet 27 2-4 0-0 6-7 3 1 0 4 0 10 14 -
S. Robinson 21 1-6 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 5 4 -2 -
C. Austrie 8 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 2 -1 -
C. Kelly 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
G. Edwards 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Bailey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Beverly 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter