Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kanaskie | 40 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 32 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 11 | - |
| N. Johnson | 32 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| D. Yates | 32 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| T. Hudson | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Sain | 14 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Hair | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Gilchrest | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Avery | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bassett | 34 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 17 | - |
| J. Jonus | 33 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| T. Macon | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Brandon | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Vogler | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Odem | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Jervis | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Telfair | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Hazzard | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Ware | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter