Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -28 (71-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dowell | 28 | 9-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| R. McKiver | 26 | 7-18 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| L. Smith | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| K. Lewis | 23 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Malone | 22 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Cousin | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Williams | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Pane | 15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Toney | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| H. McGloster | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Mosley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Killen | 40 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | - |
| M. Walker | 38 | 1-11 | 0-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -6 | - |
| R. Harp | 33 | 4-14 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| P. Dia | 27 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 6 | - |
| A. Malone | 25 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| B. Fall | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| P. Ritter | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter