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2008-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Hartford Hawks UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (1.3 off)

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +1 (86-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hartford Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Zeglinski 40 9-15 5-9 2-2 2 4 0 1 1 25 16 -
J. von Rosenberg 37 0-7 0-3 0-0 5 4 2 0 1 0 3 -
M. Turner 34 0-2 0-2 1-2 3 10 2 0 1 1 13 -
W. McLendon 30 11-16 0-1 7-9 10 2 0 2 3 29 24 -
M. Sabia 24 6-6 3-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 16 11 -
A. Minor 16 4-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 8 4 -
K. Estes 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
B. Glowiak 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hodges 38 9-14 6-9 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 24 12 -
D. Proctor 35 6-17 0-1 7-7 15 1 1 1 2 19 18 -
R. Barbosa 34 4-11 3-7 2-2 4 8 0 0 1 13 13 -
J. Greene 28 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 8 0 0 3 9 12 -
C. Johnson 26 4-8 0-1 1-4 1 2 0 3 0 9 7 -
M. Spadafora 21 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
J. Fry 18 2-6 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 2 1 6 4 -

* = starter