Model Predictions
| Model | Wichita State Shockers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +21 (72-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mekel | 34 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| R. Clemente | 27 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Phillip Thomasson | 24 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| G. Hatch | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Griskenas | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Harris | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J.T. Durley | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Ellis | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P.J. Couisnard | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Preadom | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 30 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| B. Richardson | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Johnson | 27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Slack | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| L. Dyer | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Odzic | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Sampay | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| E. Holloway | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Holtz | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Moor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Vandello | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter