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UMass Minutemen 82
@
Dayton Flyers 71
2008-01-16

Model Predictions

Model UMass Minutemen Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 8.1% 91.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 20.4% 79.6% - ✗
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 ✗ (22.0 off)
Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% - ✗

Actual: Dayton Flyers -11 (71-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Forbes 38 4-16 3-9 5-7 7 4 1 1 2 16 11 -
R. Harris 34 5-13 5-11 7-8 5 2 1 1 1 22 17 -
C. Lowe 32 5-9 2-2 7-11 1 6 0 0 0 19 17 -
T. Gaffney 27 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 0 0 10 -
E. Brower 26 4-6 3-5 0-3 9 1 0 0 1 11 14 -
D. Milligan 18 6-8 0-0 1-5 3 0 0 0 0 13 8 -
G. Correia 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
L. Bonner 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
M. Glass 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Groebe 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Roberts 37 6-14 2-7 7-8 6 4 0 0 2 21 15 -
M. Johnson 32 6-13 1-3 2-2 13 0 0 0 2 15 13 -
J. Binnie 29 0-6 0-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
C. Little 22 5-12 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 0 2 13 4 -
K. Huelsman 22 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 3 1 1 0 5 11 -
M. Perry 18 3-10 1-7 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
L. Warren 17 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 6 2 -
A. Sandoval 14 0-2 0-2 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
T. Cordeiro 8 0-1 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 1 0 1 4 -
S. Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter