Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | -0.9 | ✗ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +18 (75-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harris | 33 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Sims | 33 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| E. Udoh | 30 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Merritt | 22 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Wright | 20 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Grady | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Lee | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Coleman | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Meacham | 35 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. McCamey | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Brock | 30 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 30 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| B. Randle | 28 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| C. Frazier | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Alexander | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Holdren | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Semrau | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hicks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter