Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Prowell | 37 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Reed | 35 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 34 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 32 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Barrett | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| L. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Heramb | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Temple | 40 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| M. Thornton | 38 | 8-20 | 6-16 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 11 | - |
| A. Farrer | 34 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Randolph | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Martin | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Green | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Spencer | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter