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2008-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 20.6% 79.4% -
Bradley-Terry 55.9% 44.1% -
Margin 53.7% 46.3% -0.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% -
Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% -
Log Adjusted 82.9% 17.1% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -1 (68-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Houston 36 8-19 1-6 2-4 7 5 1 0 1 19 12 -
J. Cox 34 4-10 2-5 2-2 7 0 1 1 1 12 10 -
A. Emmenecker 33 4-8 0-0 4-5 6 5 1 0 3 12 13 -
K. Korver 31 3-10 3-6 0-0 7 1 3 0 1 9 9 -
J. Baryenbruch 29 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 3 3 -
B. Heemskerk 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
J. Hall 15 3-4 1-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 4 9 3 -
J. Parker 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 3 1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crouch 37 4-11 4-8 4-4 2 4 2 0 1 16 12 -
S. Maniscalco 37 5-10 2-4 1-1 6 7 2 0 1 13 17 -
A. Warren 36 7-13 3-8 4-4 6 2 2 0 5 21 13 -
T. Wilson 35 3-6 0-0 3-6 5 2 1 0 9 9 2 -
M. Salley 24 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
T. Cole-Scott 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 5 -
S. Singh 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
R. Austin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter