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2008-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Georgia Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 62.7% 37.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 43.9% 56.1% +1.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% -
Log Adjusted 37.2% 62.8% -

Actual: Georgia Bulldogs +7 (61-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Riley 34 3-8 0-4 4-4 6 2 3 0 2 10 11 -
A. Gee 33 2-9 1-6 0-1 7 1 3 0 0 5 7 -
R. Hendrix 32 8-11 0-0 3-9 10 1 0 2 3 19 18 -
R. Pickett 25 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -2 -
D. Jemison 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 2 5 -
B. Hollinger 22 4-5 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 10 4 -
M. Torrance 11 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 4 3 -
J. Tubbs 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Knox 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
S. Hillman 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 2 0 -

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Humphrey 34 4-10 3-7 2-2 1 3 3 0 3 13 7 -
S. Gaines 29 2-6 2-3 3-4 7 3 1 0 4 9 10 -
J. Price 24 4-6 0-0 3-3 5 0 2 0 1 11 11 -
D. Bliss 24 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 3 2 0 0 4 10 -
C. Butler 22 2-5 1-3 1-1 2 0 2 1 1 6 5 -
T. Woodbury 21 2-6 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 6 0 -
A. Jackson 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 2 1 4 4 -
Z. Swansey 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 5 2 -
T. Brewer 10 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
C. Barnes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter