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2008-01-16

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Spread Result
Elo 76.3% 23.7% -
Bradley-Terry 67.2% 32.8% -
Margin 66.7% 33.3% -3.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 64.7% 35.3% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.2% 9.8% -
Log Adjusted 90.2% 9.8% -

Actual: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -1 (82-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hansbrough 34 7-14 0-0 13-15 11 1 3 1 1 27 28 -
M. Ginyard 33 4-7 0-0 0-1 4 0 2 0 1 8 6 -
T. Lawson 33 6-13 0-2 1-1 5 5 1 0 4 13 7 -
W. Ellington 31 3-10 1-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 7 0 -
D. Thompson 24 4-7 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 1 9 5 -
D. Green 20 2-7 0-2 6-8 4 2 2 1 1 10 11 -
A. Stepheson 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 4 1 -
Q. Thomas 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 5 5 -
W. Graves 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bell 31 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 7 6 -
J. Smith 29 4-8 0-0 7-8 7 1 1 1 2 15 15 -
A. Morrow 27 5-15 3-8 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 13 1 -
M. Miller 25 3-7 1-1 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 7 5 -
L. Clinch 22 2-6 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 5 -2 -
Z. Peacock 21 7-13 0-2 0-0 11 2 0 2 1 14 15 -
G. Lawal 16 6-9 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 13 10 -
M. Causey 15 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 8 8 -
A. Aminu 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 0 4 -

* = starter