Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -13 (57-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nelson | 36 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 32 | 9-13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| G. Henderson | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Singler | 26 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| N. Smith | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| G. Paulus | 20 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. King | 15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. McClure | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Thomas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas | 39 | 5-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| R. Mims | 38 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. Swann | 38 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| J. Rich | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| U. Echefu | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| R. Reid | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Zitani | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter