Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Utes | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Nevill | 42 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| S. Green | 38 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Drca | 35 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| J. Bryant | 32 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| T. Kepkay | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| L. Borha | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Brown | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Grim | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. White | 42 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Wade | 39 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 39 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Spain | 33 | 5-13 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Thomas | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Davis | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter