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2008-01-15

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 90.1% 9.9% -
Bradley-Terry 57.0% 43.0% -
Margin 61.5% 38.5% -2.6 (31.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% -
Efficiency 95.8% 4.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% -
Log Adjusted 59.2% 40.8% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +29 (70-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Cummard 33 4-9 1-4 2-2 5 0 0 0 4 11 3 -
B. Murdock 32 2-5 0-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 6 2 -
J. Tavernari 26 1-9 1-5 0-0 3 0 2 1 3 3 -3 -
S. Burgess 25 0-5 0-5 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
T. Plaisted 23 2-3 0-0 1-10 6 0 0 1 1 5 8 -
C. Collinsworth 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 11 0 0 0 2 0 6 -
C. Miles 17 4-7 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
J. Fredette 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
M. Loyd Jr. 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Martineau 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Rose 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rougeau 35 7-11 0-0 1-2 7 2 3 3 1 15 18 -
C. Terry 33 7-12 5-8 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 21 14 -
W. Adams 28 0-5 0-2 5-7 3 1 2 0 0 5 6 -
J. Darger 27 1-7 1-5 2-3 4 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
C. Bailey 17 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
M. Shaw 17 2-7 2-4 1-2 8 3 1 0 2 7 10 -
M. Rutledge 16 1-3 0-1 2-3 2 1 2 0 1 4 5 -
M. Lawrence 15 1-2 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
K. Wallace 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
T. Cage 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter