Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | -2.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bradley | 40 | 6-17 | 2-10 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 12 | - |
| J. Crawford | 39 | 8-19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| R. Harris | 38 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Patterson | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| M. Coury | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Porter | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Stewart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Krebs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Varnado | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 27 | - |
| J. Gordon | 36 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 5-9 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - |
| B. Stewart | 35 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | - |
| P. Turner | 33 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R. Benock | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Bailey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter