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2008-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% -
Efficiency 94.4% 5.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.2% 23.8% -
Log Adjusted 76.2% 23.8% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shaw 33 3-10 2-5 0-0 1 2 2 2 1 8 4 -
B. Mullins 32 5-6 2-2 2-2 2 4 2 0 0 14 16 -
T. Green 30 3-3 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 0 4 8 11 -
W. Clemmons 25 4-8 2-5 4-4 2 2 1 1 4 14 8 -
R. Falker 25 5-6 0-0 6-8 9 5 0 2 2 16 24 -
J. Bone 21 3-6 3-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 9 5 -
T. Boyle 14 4-7 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 0 1 10 5 -
C. Fay 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
C. Cornelius 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Coopwood 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ely 39 7-10 0-1 7-7 3 3 1 0 1 21 17 -
J. Holsinger 32 3-8 2-3 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 10 6 -
N. Garner 30 2-6 0-0 5-7 4 0 3 0 0 9 10 -
P. van Tongeren 24 7-8 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 2 16 8 -
K. Lacey 24 1-4 0-0 0-2 0 4 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. Granger 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Gomez 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 4 3 4 -
C. Hopf 12 1-4 1-1 3-4 3 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
J. Couisnard 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
T. Morrow 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter