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2008-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% -
Efficiency 2.0% 98.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% -
Log Adjusted 21.7% 78.3% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Butler 37 6-11 3-7 6-6 2 7 0 0 2 21 17 -
D. Lighty 35 4-8 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 0 2 8 5 -
J. Diebler 25 1-6 0-5 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
E. Turner 24 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 7 4 -
K. Koufos 22 2-7 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 3 1 4 3 -
O. Hunter 22 3-8 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 2 1 8 5 -
M. Terwilliger 21 3-7 2-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
P.J. Hill 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 2 0 0 1 5 -
D. Lauderdale 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Neitzel 35 4-10 3-8 2-3 5 5 2 0 1 13 14 -
G. Suton 27 3-9 0-3 0-0 9 3 1 0 3 6 7 -
K. Lucas 27 5-11 2-4 1-2 2 5 1 0 2 13 8 -
T. Walton 26 0-7 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 1 1 -
D. Naymick 26 5-6 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 2 0 11 11 -
R. Morgan 19 2-8 0-0 2-3 3 2 0 0 2 6 1 -
M. Gray 17 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
D. Summers 12 2-7 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
C. Allen 11 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 2 -

* = starter