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2008-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 98.3% 1.7% -
Bradley-Terry 91.6% 8.4% -
Margin 95.8% 4.2% -17.2 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 78.8% 21.2% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Log Adjusted 96.5% 3.5% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -35 (57-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pargo * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 8 6 0 4 6 21 -
M. Bouldin * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 5 0 3 16 28 -
S. Gray * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 11 -
J. Heytvelt * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 1 5 11 16 -
D. Pendergraft * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 14 20 -
A. Daye 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 2 2 19 30 -
M. Downs 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 2 5 -
A. Kuso 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 0 8 15 -
I. Brown 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
L. Gurganious 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 1 4 -
R. Sacre 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Sorenson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shelley * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 4 4 5 15 22 -
M. Thompson * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 0 3 -
R. Holmes * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 1 2 12 -
M. Hornbuckle 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 9 9 -
D. Johnson 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 10 -
J. Henry 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 -
T. Carr 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Reed 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
T. Tucker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Clardy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter