Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Loyola Marymount Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ito | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Raivio | 31 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | - |
| S. Watson | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 28 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| L. Sikma | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Knutson | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Stohl | 12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| W. Thompson | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Carter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Counts | 31 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| O. Johnson | 30 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| T. Diederichs | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Deric | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Ziri | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Sutton | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Craig | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Q. Turner | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Sweezy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter