Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Allen | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| G. Watson | 30 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Bitzer | 25 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| N. Minnoy | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Walters | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Spencer | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Spica | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Van | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Blevins | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Simon | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Harman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Kellermann | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Stovall | 34 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| M. Perry | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| M. Goins | 32 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| A. Newell | 29 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 3-9 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| B. Lampley | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. McLemore | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Giles | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Frazier | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Hinkley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter