Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +22 (87-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary | 34 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 4 | - |
| M. Diane | 32 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Joseph | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| C. Baker | 29 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| R. Pettinella | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Tucker | 18 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Tat | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Scott | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nelson | 29 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| G. Paulus | 27 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 27 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| G. Henderson | 23 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| K. Singler | 22 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. McClure | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| N. Smith | 18 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. King | 17 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Thomas | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| J. Davidson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter