Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Randle | 40 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. McCamey | 38 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Brock | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Meacham | 31 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Holdren | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Davis | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Alexander | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jordan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Gordon | 36 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 8-10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D.J. White | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| J. Ellis | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Crawford | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. White | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Bassett | 18 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Stemler | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter