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2008-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 72.0% 28.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 5.6% 94.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Log Adjusted 23.4% 76.6% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hendrix 39 8-14 0-0 1-4 11 0 1 4 1 17 18 -
A. Gee 38 4-16 2-8 5-8 5 2 1 0 1 15 6 -
B. Hollinger 35 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 6 5 -
M. Riley 28 5-9 4-6 2-2 6 1 2 1 1 16 16 -
D. Jemison 26 3-6 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 0 6 13 -
R. Pickett 18 2-9 1-3 2-2 1 1 2 0 2 7 0 -
J. Tubbs 17 0-5 0-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Torrance 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Hillman 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Y. Coleman 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Knox 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Weems 41 4-14 2-9 7-9 4 5 1 0 1 17 12 -
G. Ervin 33 4-13 2-6 2-3 0 1 3 0 2 12 1 -
P. Beverley 31 2-8 2-6 0-2 13 1 0 0 3 6 9 -
D. Townes 30 7-8 0-0 4-6 3 1 2 2 2 18 16 -
C. Thomas 30 3-9 1-2 6-7 10 1 2 0 1 13 16 -
S. Welsh 22 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 0 1 -
M. Washington 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Hill 15 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 3 2 1 4 -
M. Britt 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter