Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hendrix | 39 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| A. Gee | 38 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 35 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Riley | 28 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| D. Jemison | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| R. Pickett | 18 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| J. Tubbs | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Torrance | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Hillman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Knox | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Weems | 41 | 4-14 | 2-9 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| G. Ervin | 33 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| P. Beverley | 31 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Townes | 30 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Thomas | 30 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| S. Welsh | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Washington | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Hill | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| M. Britt | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter