๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2008-01-12

Model Predictions

Model North Dakota State Bison Western Illinois Leathernecks Spread Result
Elo 72.2% 27.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—
Margin 75.8% 24.2% -6.3 โœ— (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 69.3% 30.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 84.5% 15.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 64.4% 35.6% - โœ—

Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks +16 (83-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Dakota State Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Woodside 40 6-15 1-5 9-11 7 7 0 0 2 22 19 -
M. Nelson 37 5-9 1-2 4-7 5 0 0 0 2 15 9 -
B. Winkelman 30 5-11 0-2 6-6 6 1 1 0 4 16 9 -
M. Tveidt 26 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
J. Vaughan 18 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 1 3 -
L. Moormann 18 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 1 2 3 2 -
S. Sussenguth 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
F. Coleman 8 1-2 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
L. Riley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jackson 36 7-13 0-1 6-9 3 4 1 1 1 20 15 -
J. Owens-Murray 28 5-10 0-0 4-8 6 1 1 1 2 14 11 -
D. Johnson 28 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 0 2 10 -
D. Nurse 27 7-9 4-4 4-4 1 1 0 0 0 22 15 -
J. Washington III 25 4-8 0-1 4-4 1 5 2 0 0 12 12 -
D. Dubois 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 4 5 -
C. Gonzalez 20 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
J. Rivers 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Granstra 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter