Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | +3.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -4 (78-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Watson | 31 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| N. Raivio | 31 | 6-18 | 2-8 | 3-6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| T. Ito | 28 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| K. Knutson | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Sikma | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 21 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Stohl | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| W. Thompson | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Shelley | 31 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 9 | - |
| J. Walberg | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Tucker | 24 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Thompson | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Johnson | 20 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| R. Holmes | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Henry | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Reed | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter