Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✗ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durham | 33 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 14 | - |
| C. Taylor | 31 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| B. Howard | 24 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| P. Friesen | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Davis | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 15 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Zamora | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Blackshire | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Landry | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 24 | - |
| J. Wilson | 28 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| N. Geiser | 24 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Johnson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Z. Filzen | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Bishop | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Larson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Jones | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| G. Sharp | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter