Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +17 (78-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brown | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| C. Troyer | 33 | 4-11 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| S. Johnson | 28 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 9 | - |
| M. Nunnally | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Ford | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Doran | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Morgan | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Smith | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Kirby | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Willard | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tresvant | 32 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Heard | 32 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 30 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 29 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| R. Haynes | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Townsend | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Miller | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Wayne | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Taylor | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Mels | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter