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Bradley Braves 75
@
Northern Iowa Panthers 73
2008-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% - ✗
Margin 18.9% 81.1% +8.0 ✗ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - ✓
Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 67.0% 33.0% - ✓

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 38 2-11 1-7 3-4 0 6 0 0 0 8 3 -
A. Warren 34 4-12 4-5 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 14 7 -
J. Crouch 30 7-11 6-8 8-8 5 0 1 0 4 28 19 -
M. Salley 27 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 1 1 2 8 -
T. Wilson 24 4-8 2-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 10 8 -
R. Austin 16 1-3 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 3 6 4 -
S. Singh 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
T. Cole-Scott 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Josten 36 7-9 3-3 4-4 2 1 0 0 4 21 11 -
E. Coleman 34 6-10 0-0 9-12 13 3 1 0 1 21 27 -
T. Brown 30 2-5 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
A. Koch 26 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 4 2 -
A. Viet 18 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
K. Dunham 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
J. Eglseder 15 3-5 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 1 3 10 5 -
C. Reed 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 0 -
L. O'Rear 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 -
J. Montgomery 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter