Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.8% | 24.2% | -6.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks +9 (68-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.