Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -14 (60-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.