Model Predictions
| Model | Stony Brook Seawolves | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +5 (61-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.