Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +7 (43-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Suton | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 31 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Morgan | 30 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| T. Walton | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Lucas | 20 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 | - |
| D. Naymick | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Gray | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Allen | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Summers | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibok | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Freeman | 38 | 5-12 | 5-9 | 7-9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| J. Kelly | 34 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 34 | 1-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Gorney | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| C. Tate | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| K. Looby | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Peterson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Bohall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter