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2008-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 79.1% 20.9% -
Bradley-Terry 55.0% 45.0% -
Margin 49.5% 50.5% +0.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.0% 38.0% -
Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% -
Log Adjusted 89.2% 10.8% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +7 (43-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Suton 31 4-9 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 4 9 8 -
D. Neitzel 31 4-14 2-8 0-0 4 6 4 0 1 10 9 -
R. Morgan 30 5-12 0-1 0-2 4 0 2 0 4 10 0 -
T. Walton 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 0 0 -
K. Lucas 20 0-8 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -7 -
D. Naymick 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
M. Gray 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 0 5 -
C. Allen 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Summers 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
I. Ibok 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
I. Dahlman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Freeman 38 5-12 5-9 7-9 2 3 4 0 4 22 15 -
J. Kelly 34 0-5 0-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 1 -2 -
J. Johnson 34 1-11 0-7 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 2 0 -
S. Gorney 31 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 0 0 8 -
C. Tate 28 2-3 0-0 5-12 7 0 2 0 0 9 15 -
K. Looby 22 3-5 0-0 3-6 8 1 0 0 0 9 13 -
J. Peterson 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Bohall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter