Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ely | 37 | 10-18 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | - |
| J. Holsinger | 34 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| N. Garner | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Granger | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Lacey | 18 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
| J. Couisnard | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Hopf | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| V. Gomez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Morrow | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Gregory | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 34 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| B. Richardson | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Johnson | 28 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Slack | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Odzic | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| L. Dyer | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Sampay | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| E. Holloway | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter