Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.2% | 23.8% | -6.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls -15 (59-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.