Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.7% | 31.3% | -4.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jefferson | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Thomas | 29 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| B. Bush | 29 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| D. Moseley | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| M. Fullenwider | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Sloan | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Benson | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Gough | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Holder | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. White | 11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Bowie | 40 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 7-10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 5 | - |
| M. Pillow | 36 | 5-17 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -8 | - |
| D. Nevels | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Y. Sims | 22 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 4-9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Cannon | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Marks | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| L. Brewer | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| I. Qahwash | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Harding | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Haymaker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter