Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | -5.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +12 (65-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Terry | 38 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| W. Adams | 34 | 3-14 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -2 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| J. Darger | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Bailey | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Shaw | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Wallace | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 38 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Anderson | 33 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 9-12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 21 | - |
| A. Henke | 32 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Maren | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Johnson | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Holland | 20 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Hood | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. El-Amin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Brooks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter