Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Whiten | 38 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 10 | - |
| C. Thomas | 26 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Shelton | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Hanson | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Clark | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Vance | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| L. Keeler | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Lewis | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Manley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Higgins | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Anderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Fells | 33 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| B. Lauer | 33 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 9-10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| P. Sanders | 28 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| K. Bland | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Hunter | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| P. Rembert | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. McIntosh | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. DeCasas | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Ballard | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter