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2008-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Irvine Anteaters Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 19.9% 80.1% +7.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 24.7% 75.3% -
Efficiency 2.1% 97.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -
Log Adjusted 5.0% 95.0% -

Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Whiten 38 8-12 5-7 1-2 2 2 0 0 4 22 10 -
C. Thomas 26 4-11 1-7 2-3 2 5 2 0 1 11 8 -
T. Shelton 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 3 -
M. Hanson 17 2-4 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
T. Clark 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 3 2 -
D. Vance 14 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 8 7 -
L. Keeler 14 2-5 1-3 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
C. Leavitt 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 2 3 -
S. Lewis 12 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
J. Manley 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
R. Higgins 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Anderson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Fells 33 6-11 0-1 1-2 11 1 0 0 1 13 13 -
B. Lauer 33 4-9 3-8 9-10 0 2 1 0 1 20 13 -
P. Sanders 28 7-15 1-3 3-3 5 1 0 3 3 18 9 -
K. Bland 23 3-7 0-2 1-1 9 2 1 0 2 7 10 -
M. Hunter 20 0-3 0-3 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 -
P. Rembert 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. McIntosh 18 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 -
C. DeCasas 18 3-5 1-3 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 10 9 -
M. Ballard 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter