Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | +2.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -14 (71-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McClellan | 40 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Bayless | 39 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 18-20 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 32 | - |
| C. Budinger | 38 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| N. Wise | 30 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Hill | 24 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| F. Onobun | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Dillon | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McKiver | 37 | 5-21 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | -3 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 34 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 8-12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 9 | - |
| M. Malone | 28 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| D. Dowell | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Toney | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Cousin | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Pane | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Smith | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Lewis | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Mosley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter