Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 35 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 14 | - |
| B. White | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 30 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Davis | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 22 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Spain | 22 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| M. Thomas | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Giddens | 34 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| D. Faris | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Toppert | 28 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Smith | 26 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Prentice | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Martinez | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Gary | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Pegues | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Harris | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter