Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.2 | ✓ (23.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +31 (93-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fells | 34 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| G. Grant | 28 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Hickson | 28 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| B. Costner | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Johnson | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. McCauley | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Horner | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Smith | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Harris | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 30 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| W. Ellington | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Lawson | 27 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| D. Thompson | 25 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Green | 23 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Copeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Moody | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Wooten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Little | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter