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2008-01-12

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Ole Miss Rebels Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Margin 14.2% 85.8% +9.9 โœ“ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“

Actual: Ole Miss Rebels +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Randolph 39 8-14 0-0 2-5 11 1 1 3 3 18 17 -
M. Thornton 38 9-20 4-10 3-6 3 2 1 0 1 25 10 -
G. Temple 35 6-11 4-8 0-0 6 3 1 1 1 16 15 -
Q. Thornton 27 3-4 0-0 1-2 8 2 1 0 1 7 13 -
T. Martin 24 1-8 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 -4 -
A. Farrer 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 2 0 1 1 3 -
G. Green 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
B. Spencer 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Warren 35 4-13 3-7 4-7 4 2 0 0 0 15 8 -
K. Williams 34 5-9 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 1 2 10 15 -
E. Polynice 33 6-13 0-2 3-4 6 2 1 0 1 15 10 -
D. Huertas 32 2-8 1-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 5 3 -
D. Curtis 25 5-6 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
M. White 21 4-5 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 0 0 12 13 -
T. Gaskins 11 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
B. Smith 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Z. Graham 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter