Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -10 (68-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Udoh | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| M. Harris | 31 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 7-10 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | - |
| K. Grady | 27 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| D. Sims | 26 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Merritt | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Wright | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Lee | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Coble | 40 | 14-18 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 24 | - |
| M. Thompson | 39 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| S. Williams | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Moore | 26 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Okrzesik | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Ryan | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Capocci | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Baran | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Nash | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter